P&L FORECASTING

See your profit before you earn it.

Your complete P&L projected up to 60 months into the future. Built on your real numbers, not a spreadsheet someone forgot to update. Change an assumption, and the entire forecast recalculates.

Growing revenue is easy to celebrate. Knowing whether it's profitable is harder.

Most brands plan their growth around a revenue target. But revenue and profit don't always move together. If sales go up 20% while fulfillment and ad costs rise 25%, you've grown your way into lower margins. Without a forward-looking P&L, you won't see that until the quarter is already over.

What You See

P&L Forecasting extends your actual profit and loss statement into the future. Historical columns show your real numbers. Forecasted columns project every line item forward: gross sales, COGS, shipping, marketing, fees, and net profit. The table reads left to right, from what happened to what's likely to happen, across 12, 24, or 60 months.

The forecast is driven by adjustable assumptions. You set your expected customer acquisition cost, monthly ad spend, and acquisition window. Change any of them and the entire forecast recalculates instantly. Want to know what happens to profit if you increase ad spend by $10K per month? Change the number and read the new bottom line. No spreadsheet formulas, no circular references.

P&L Forecasting screenshot

Capabilities

12, 24, or 60 Month Horizon

Short-term planning or long-range modeling. Pick the window that matches your decision.

Adjustable CAC and Ad Spend

Override the defaults with your own numbers. The forecast rebuilds itself around your assumptions.

Historical Baseline

Forecasts start from your actual last 3 months of data. Not estimates. Not industry benchmarks. Your real numbers.

Dollar and Percentage Views

Switch between absolute dollars and percentage-of-revenue. Margin compression shows up clearly in percentage view even when dollar amounts are growing.

Cohort Filtering

Optionally scope the forecast to specific customer cohorts for more targeted projections.

Side-by-Side Comparison

Historical and forecasted columns sit next to each other. See exactly where the projection diverges from reality.

The Insight

The most important thing to find in this table is the month where revenue keeps growing but net profit stops following. That's where a cost line is expanding faster than sales. It could be COGS creep, rising ad costs, or fulfillment getting more expensive at scale. The table shows you which line item is responsible, and the month it starts to hurt.

What You Can Do With This

Test before you spend.

Open the assumptions panel, increase your projected ad spend by $10K, and read the bottom line. If profit doesn't grow proportionally, the extra spend isn't worth it at your current economics. You'll know before writing the check.

Find the breakeven point on growth.

Revenue can grow indefinitely. Profit can't. This forecast shows you the ceiling: the point where adding more customers costs more than they contribute. Knowing that number changes how aggressively you scale.

Present a credible plan.

Whether it's to your co-founder, your board, or yourself, this is a P&L projection built on real data with named assumptions. It's more honest than a spreadsheet and more useful than a guess.

Catch margin compression early.

Use percentage view. If net margin drops from 12% to 9% over the next six months while revenue grows, you've found a problem before it lands. Fix the cost line now while you still have time.

Common Questions

The forecast uses your actual last 3 months as the baseline. If that period was unusual (holiday season, a large promotion), the baseline won't reflect typical operations. Switch to custom inputs and enter more representative numbers.

Yes. Change your CAC, ad spend, or acquisition window, and hit Apply. The entire forecast recalculates. You can run as many scenarios as you want by adjusting the inputs.

Yes. The forecast works with Shopify data alone. Connecting Recharge makes the subscriber vs. one-time buyer split more accurate, but it's not required.

See it with your own data.

Connect your Shopify store in 2 minutes. Your P&L, LTV, unit economics, and forecasts are ready the same day. No credit card required to start.